KP
KalVista Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (KALV)·Q2 2026 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- EKTERLY launch momentum accelerated: net product revenue rose to $13.692M in Q2 2026 (quarter ended Sep 30, 2025), up from $1.426M in Q1 2026, as patient starts and prescriber activation scaled quickly .
- Adoption KPIs were strong: 937 patient start forms and 423 unique prescribers through Oct 31; repeat prescribers drove 75% of start forms, supporting sustainability of demand .
- Cash increased to $309.158M with recent convertible notes; management expects funding “through profitability,” reducing near-term financing risk .
- No formal revenue/EPS guidance; management flagged seasonal demand moderation into holidays and variability from high-burden patient refills; investors should expect quarterly revenue lumpiness near-term .
- Potential stock catalysts: payer coverage policies formalizing in early 2026, continued ex-U.S. launches (Germany underway; U.K. and Japan targeted 1H/early 2026) and pediatric NDA submission planned for Q3 2026 .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- “US launch of EKTERLY is progressing with significant momentum” with $13.7M net product revenue and rapid adoption (937 start forms, 423 prescribers) .
- Management emphasized “accelerating utilization, repeat prescribing, and growing favorable access,” positioning EKTERLY as foundational HAE therapy; prescriber awareness at 100% of tier-one and 95% of target HCPs .
- Ex-U.S. execution: Germany launch recorded first-day commercial sales; approvals in EU, Switzerland, UK, and Australia broadened footprint .
What Went Wrong
- Operating loss widened on commercialization investment: Q2 total operating expenses $59.742M vs $43.480M y/y; SG&A $46.517M vs $24.800M y/y, reflecting launch costs .
- Near-term demand volatility expected: management cautioned holiday season softness, inventory build dynamics at specialty pharmacies, and higher refill quantities among high-burden early adopters .
- No quantitative revenue/EPS guidance and S&P Global consensus data unavailable; management noted wide sell-side dispersion (over “threefold gap”), complicating modeling and expectations .
Financial Results
Consolidated P&L and Balance Metrics (USD Millions unless noted)
Estimates vs Actuals
Note: S&P Global consensus data was unavailable for this period; values would otherwise be retrieved from S&P Global.
Segment Breakdown
Commercial KPIs
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- CEO: “US launch of EKTERLY is progressing with significant momentum… We also recently launched EKTERLY in Germany… we now hold five regulatory approvals… With the successful closing of our recent $144 million convertible note offering, we have the financial resources to continue advancing our global launch strategy” .
- CCO: “In less than four months since launch, we have received 937 start forms… 423 unique prescribers… Awareness levels are exceptionally high… repeat prescribers account for 75% of all start forms” .
- CMO: Pediatrics interim data show median 30 minutes to dosing and median 1.5 hours to symptom relief; no treatment-related AEs reported, reinforcing EKTERLY’s potential to expand to younger populations .
- CFO: “Sales of EKTERLY were $13.7 million… gross-to-net toward low end of expected range… operating expenses $59.7M… cash sufficient to fund operations through profitability” .
- CEO closing: “With strong execution, a clear strategic runway, and a fully funded path through profitability, we believe we are well on our way to establishing EKTERLY as the foundational therapy for HAE” .
Q&A Highlights
- Refill rates and quantity limits: High-burden patients refilling ~monthly with multiple cartons; quantity limits consistent with branded on-demand therapies and not impeding access; expect normalization as adoption broadens .
- PSF trajectory: Linear growth to date; anticipated holiday season slowdown; longer-term penetration expected to broaden beyond high-burden cohort .
- Stockpiling: Some evidence of higher refill quantities; guidelines encourage patients to keep treatment for 2–3 attacks on hand; utilization expected to moderate as base broadens .
- Ex-U.S. pricing: Germany price not disclosed; U.K. launch targeted for 1H 2026; broader EU rollout toward late 2026 .
- Consensus modeling: Management noted >3x dispersion across sell-side estimates post fiscal-calendar change, highlighting early-stage uncertainty .
Estimates Context
- Wall Street consensus from S&P Global was unavailable for Q1 and Q2 2026; management emphasized wide dispersion (“over a threefold gap”) in sell-side models given early launch, refill dynamics, and fiscal-year change .
- Implication: Expect near-term estimate revisions to track payer policy formalization, refill frequency normalization, and ex-U.S. revenue contribution; investors should anchor scenarios on observed PSF growth, repeat prescribing, and access trends .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- EKTERLY adoption is broadening beyond early high-burden users; repeat prescribers and high awareness underpin persistent demand and support sustained PSF growth into 2026 .
- Near-term revenue may be volatile due to holiday season effects, inventory builds, and higher refill quantities among early adopters; avoid over-extrapolating Q2 run-rate .
- Liquidity inflection: $309M cash with expectation to fund through profitability reduces financing overhang and supports global launch execution .
- Access milestones: Majority of emerging policies are PA-to-label; minority require icatibant step-through, typically surmountable; formalization targeted early 2026 .
- Ex-U.S. growth drivers: Germany launch underway; U.K. reimbursement and Japan approval/launch in early 2026 can add multi-region revenue legs .
- Pediatrics upside: KONFIDENT-KID interim data are favorable; pediatric NDA planned Q3 2026, potentially expanding addressable market and reinforcing “foundational therapy” positioning .
- Modeling caution: With S&P Global consensus unavailable and sell-side estimates dispersed, triangulate with operational KPIs (PSFs, prescribers, refills) and management commentary on GTN and SG&A run-rate .